You’ve won the lottery

Have you ever bought a lottery ticket?  Think about how it made you feel.  The daydreaming about all of the problems that money would solve.  Have you ever talked about your lottery dreams with the person you love?  Fantasized about the romantic vacations you will take and the generous gifts you will give to family and friends?

My wife got sick the other day.  She is fine – it was the stomach flu.  But I left for work that morning thinking that she was home in bed, and, as I’m sure many a worried husband has done, I had nightmare visions of coming home to find her…well, I can’t even write the words.

And so, as I was walking home from the bus stop, I saw that the Mega Millions jackpot had hit $80 million dollars.  Normally I would get excited.  And yet all I could think was that money means NOTHING to me when compared to my life as it is today – healthy, loved, and safe.  With my beautiful, wonderful wife at my side.

So I walked over to a garbage can right there at the gas station and I tore up my lottery ticket without checking if I had the winning numbers.  Because I realized I have already won, and it is gluttonous to wish for more.

I am never buying a lottery ticket again.  How about you?

Famous last words

I’m looking at the title of my last post and smiling, because just as soon as you make a prediction in life, she turns around and surpises you. I began my startup career in games, with Lifegamed, moved into video with Cinecandy, and have now joined a fantastic startup, Papaya Mobile, which is in games and mobile advertising. Perhaps I should have predicted mobile video.

Anyway, though this post is the first in this new chapter of my career, I’ll keep blogging about the things that interest me in technology and politics – though I suspect I’ll start ruminating on the daily challenges and opportunities of running the US operations at Papaya, as well. Looking forward to it.

It’s all going to video…

It seems like all of my professional and personal zigs and zags tend to come back to one thing – video. Despite the fact that I’m a staunch cord-cutter, just about everything I’ve explored seems to have a video component, and the more I think about it, the more I realize that I am firmly committed to video as a means of expression and the future of communication. Seamless, instant, easy, and everywhere – it will be video to express ourselves, to leave messages, to entertain ourselves, and to carry out more and more aspects of our lives.  And the twist is that I think that it will increasingly be a two way thing.  Video will ask us to engage – whether live or recorded, we will have options – to explore, to buy, to decide.  We haven’t even scratched the surface, and even though Cinecandy may be backburnered, there is much, much to do…

RIP Cinecandy, and a postmortem.

I’m putting this post on my personal page rather than on the Cinecandy blog because I don’t know how long I’ll keep the Cinecandy blog going.  For which the reason is that I’ve decided to shut Cinecandy down.

For those of you following the story, I worked on Cinecandy from the time I joined the Founder Institute in the winter of 2010 all through 2011.  I thought it would be worth writing about the experience and what I learned.  It’s probably worth noting that most of the lessons may well be internal ones, rather than broadly applicable.  That said, the exercise is probably a good one for me.

One thing that hindsight does is that it creates a coherent story – our memory focuses on selected facts and de-emphasizes others in order to create a narrative that makes sense.  This kind of hindsight exists both in the case of success and in the case of failure.  For successes the tendency is to emphasize the things that one did right.  For failures, the tendency is to emphasize elements that were beyond one’s control.

I already find myself doing this with my Cinecandy narrative – focusing on things like a tight job market for not being able to find a co-founder, for instance.  So I will really try to focus on things that were in my control, good and bad.

Lesson 1:  Don’t let the perfect be the enemy of the good.

I always thought grokked this lesson.  But I only thought it applied to product – to features, cost/benefit tradeoffs, and time to market.  Not so.

It applied for me big time when it came to the search for a co-founder.  I was too picky in a couple of instances, thinking I could go ahead on my own, and confident that the fact that the product was being built by a contract developer meant I was making progress.  There was one person in particular who would have been a fantastic fit, but they were in Los Angeles.  I didn’t want to commute, I didn’t want a long distance partnership, and I was stupid on both counts.  I should have considered myself lucky to find someone technically gifted and personally compatible and just made it work.  I can’t stress this enough – particularly if you are a business founder, if you are able to sell someone you like and who is capable on your vision – virtually no other criteria justifies not taking them on.  Anyway – I think that I would have gotten a hell of a lot more done and had a far better experience…which might still be continuing, if I had been more flexible about finding a co-founder.  I think this flies in the face of a lot of advice out there around co-founders needing to be soulmates and the search for co-founders being a lot like dating.  I guess I ended up being the 40 year old spinster who finds herself alone after a lifetime of rejecting perfectly good suitors.

Lesson 2:  Misery Needs Company

I need people around me.  This is slightly different from needing a co-founder as an intellectual partner and someone to smooth out the emotional rollercoaster of doing a startup. It’s much more basic – I spent a lot of time working by myself and I realized that I am far happier working on teams.

Lesson 3:  Figure Out ALL Your Runways…

Emotional runway.  I can only deal with about a year’s worth of complete ambiguity.  At a year I realized that not knowing when I would have clarity wouldn’t work for me.  By the same token, if I had been able to see a time down the road when I would be able to prove the concept, or have enough traction to raise money, I think I would have stuck with it.  But, having that moment always be right around the corner was in the end more than I could deal with.

The money thing is insiduous.  We didn’t blow all our savings on Cinecandy, but we spent a lot, and I think the knowledge that it would take more in order to clear then next hurdle made me more tentative than I might have been otherwise.  And being tentative just doesn’t cut it.

Lesson 4:  Walk Before You Fly

I didn’t REALLY prove the concept.  This one is tricky, because Cinecandy ultimately relied on making a beautiful product – a finished, easy to make video.  And in order to do that I had to make the technology that would create such a product.  So the conundrum wasn’t easy – in retrospect I think I should have hired a film editor to do everything manually for a bunch of customers and see if they liked and would pay for the results.  That wouldn’t have been that much cheaper, but I would have gotten the proof I needed earlier.  In fact I never truly got the proof I needed – that people would pay for a video of a special occasion with input from their friends and family.

This is a great example of people telling you what you need to know and still not doing it.  I read Eric Reis, I believe the lean startup mantra.  But I still built way too much before knowing that I could make something that people would pay for.  Live and learn.

Also, I spent big on lawyers and a full-on Delaware C-Corp.  I had a great deal with Wilson Sonsini to defer legal expenses (thanks to the Founder Institute), but they were due at the end of the year and piled on with the rest of the money I had spent into my mental calculus.  I would have been better off building product and proof of concept without having all of the incorporation stuff done – it was a needless distraction at my stage.  C-corps cost money, require attention, and involve lawyers…all fine when you have a product that’s getting some traction, but before then a useless waste of time.  The argument to get that all done early is that it makes it easy for investors.  These days I’d contend that if the product is working and you have traction, you can definitely figure out the legal and entity stuff.

Lesson 5:  Know yourself

Would I do it again?  Of course.  Would I do it the same way?  No way – but I know myself better now, and that counts for a great deal…

Anyone know why this happens?

A couple of days ago I sent an email to someone using my gmail account.  I have zero connection to this person.  Today they are being suggested to me as a potential friend in Facebook.  How is this happening?  Let me know in comments…

OWS could use a little Silicon Valley love…

The Occupy Wall Street movement is still in its infancy, but the speed of its growth and the passion it has tapped portends large for society.  A lot has been written elsewhere about what and who the movement really represents and what its goals are, so I won’t go into those topics.  Rather, what I am concerned about is that once the dust settles and the who’s and how’s become clear, there will still be a long way to go for the movement to translate its support and vision into political change.  Because let’s face it, at the end of the day we in the United States have already won what many of the other Occupy revolutions have sought – a representative political system sensitive to the will of the people.

Making their will heard is what the 1% have mastered through lobbying.  I think that the response, in addition to camping out in Zuccotti Park, is through collective action via the ballot box.  No matter how many squares we camp out in, at the end of the day the only way to compel real change will be through elections.  And honestly, that makes me feel pretty good, because given the numbers, which the movement clearly has, and the organization made possible by the internet and mobile, real change is posibble.

So here are some ideas:

1)  Anyone who shows the commitment necessary to come to an OWS should be signed up for automated reminders to register to vote.  Everyone coming out should become part of a mailing list.  Mail Chimp, anyone?

2)  A free OWS mobile app could be used to provide several organizational benefits:

– Reminding people to register

– Providing the locations of the nearest polling places

– Allowing people to volunteer for driver service using car sharing services as in (3) below.

– Creating  ”Political Poke” groups in which small groups of 5-10 app owners call each other to encourage voting

– Identifying candidates at all levels who make pledges consistent with the OWS agenda – whenever that agenda gets set

–  Identifying the most sensitive elections at all levels – in which small numbers of votes can make a difference – in order to let people know when their votes will have the greatest impact.

3)  Using car-sharing services to provide rides for voters on election day

– This can be done either through the OWS app itself (no ideal) or through an effort by the car sharing startups in the valley:  Relay Rides, Getaround, etc.

4)  Crowdsourcing political ads

–  If there is one thing OWS probably over indexes for it is creativity.  That creativity should be harnessed to produce political advertisements, and there are several technology companies that could help – Youtube and Vimeo come to mind.

5)  Changing venues

–  I think a Political version of “Let’s Lunch” would be a great way to let politicians get to know the people involved with OWS – and the Tea Party, for that matter, in a context that is less formal and more meaningful than the current mass actions.

I’m sure there’s tons more – I’d love to see suggestions in comments.

Listless consuming blobs…

The other day I was out driving with my sister in law, who had her iphone stolen a few days prior.  We were a bit lost, and her backup cell phone did not have mapping software on it.  She grew increasingly frustrated as we kept asking people for directions and then not finding our destination.  At one point she lamented that she is now lost – in the larger sense of the word – without her iphone.  This gave me pause.

 

I think we all become luddites as we age – my parents complained that using calculators in school would prevent me from learning basic math.  I also think that the luddites do not necessarily have it wrong – my math skills suck.  The refreshing thing about technology, however, is that it always frees us up to do more with less – there is always some next level of cognitive ability enabled by technology which – perhaps coincidentally – the luddites don’t get.  There’s some relationship between the point at which I do not understand Facebook and the point at which I think that Facebook might be a force for evil in the world.

So anyway, I’ve been thinking about whether the process I just described is process that can go on forever.

Here’s the premise.  The first machines harnessed leverage to give humans more physical strength.  As we came to rely on them we lost our own.  The Industrial Revolution made it possible through the division of labor to produce more complex things, though individually we lost the ability to build things from start to finish.  Radio enabled communication but made oration a lost art.  Fast forward to the internet with its instant everything and the list of lost abilities is long indeed.  Of course the response to nostalgia about any of these things is that we live in society, that we no longer need those lost skills, and some other skill has replaced what is lost – whether it’s programming or surfing the internet or whatever the next thing is.  But the pattern is clear – we lose our ability to do that which we do not do.

So what’s the endpoint of technological advance, then?  We sit around and do nothing but consume matter and data while all of the production of matter and data is done by machines?  Become listless, consuming blobs?  Not only is that scary – it’s kind of already happening.  We are, after all, lost without our iPhones…

A little political yearning…

I’m a liberal, so, in this season of Republican winnowing, I am train-wreck obsessed with some of the characters running for the nomination.  Plenty of other people to write about them.  But I have a little confession to make.  I like Ron Paul.  GASP.  I mean it.  I have followed the man, and heard him speak, and asked myself more than once – maybe HE’s the guy that deserves my vote.

Isn’t that insane?  I mean, on every single issue, the guy is diametrically opposed to my beliefs.  Ok – with the exception of getting out of our wars and legalizing pot.  But those two things aside, for the very reasons that I hated Bush and fear the current round of whackjobs, I would hate Ron Paul.

But I admire him.  I can’t help but believe him to be a good man, one who has lived his convictions with courage and who has something to teach all of us about valor in the face of the pressure of peers.

And yet the irony is that intransigence is one of the things I detest most in our leaders.  In fact, I heartily believe that an inability to compromise represents most often a shallowness of intelligence rather than a principled morality.  But if even I can be seduced by the simple fact of a a man doing what he says he will do, even if what he says he will do is batshit crazy – how much more powerful would a real leader be?  A person who says specifically what they will do for the country, and then does them with unswerving dedication?  That kind of leader would have to choose their words carefully.  In fact, it would probably behoove them not to speak very often for fear of becoming repetitive.

But a leader who spoke forcefully and clearly about a vision with which I agree and then stuck to it with the strength of a Ron Paul?

Now there’s someone I could get behind.

Sittin’ on a beach…

My friend Paul Whiteway just launched his site -  www.jobloker.co.id, a service focused on providing job listings in Indonesia.  The site looks great, and he did it in a couple of months while sitting in Bali.

Punk.

Technology and a market for the common good

I am torn.  I’ve been following the debt ceiling debate and the ongoing division in the US about what sort of a country we would like to be.  The age old debate between pragmatism and idealism.  To be honest I have gone back and forth on the fundamental question – should government be smaller than it is today?  I mean – isn’t there some sort of self-equilibrating size that optimizes for the greatest good among the most people?  And isn’t the answer to this question in fact a summation of millions of individual laws and their effects on millions of citizens’ utility?

I can’t help but think that politics is the one place that technology has not improved our lot.  If government is the marketplace for the pricing of the common good – it sure seems like a a pretty dysfunctional market:  opaque, illiquid, ridden with asymmetry and made worse by the fact that no one believes the playing field is level.

And yet, haven’t other markets with similar issues been improved with the introduction of technology that aggregates information and facilitates trading?  Futures markets, equity markets, debt markets.  The benefits that have accrued when clear pricing, transparency, and oversight were introduced have been huge.  So – what would a Common Good Market (CGM) look like?

The currency:  obviously on some level everything is priced in dollars.  But how to standardize the value of the benefits that accrue to groups or individuals so that they can be priced?  I actually think that a start would be to give each citizen, of any age, an official Common Good account.  This account would reflect credits and debits against that citizen’s wellbeing, priced in CG points.  Legal guardians would manage accounts for their charges.  For simplicity’s sake, assume everyone starts with a zero balance at birth and accrues at a fixed rate…though you can complicate the point system with age, wealth, and any number of other factors.

Making laws is like making sausage, and laws at all levels of government add credits and debits to each citizen in differing measure – the problem is it’s not clear who benefits and who loses, and to what extent, when the law is created.

To increase transparency, the key function of legislative drafting (and of legislators) would be to define an arbitrary CG point gain or loss to any proposed  law, along with a definition of the groups of citizens affected by the law.  Affected citizens could then “price” the law up or down by buying it or selling it using the points in their CG accounts.  The point here is that citizens who benefitted disproportionately from a law would spend more of their CG points to support it and those who didn’t would not – providing a much better indication of a law’s benefits.  Passage would be determined based on a net CG effect.  I’ll defer to the folks who manage World of Warcraft on the intricacies of the point system – but you get the thrust of it.

Lawmaking takes effect at multiple levels – federal, state, and local.  Moreover there are overlapping jurisdictions at each level.  Lots of waste, obviously, but also lots of ways for people with good lobbyists to get what they want.  The CGM would incorporate the laws at all three levels – making them all visible, and importantly, equilibrating their effects.  A single nationwide repository, with prices denominated in CG units reflected at all times for each individual law.  It would very quickly become evident who was benefitting disproportionately.

This might all sound very complicated, opening the solution to the charge that it would require too much involvement from citizens.  But the fact is that those who did not participate would be affected by the laws as proposed – much as things stand today.  Those who cared could simply look at their CG account to see how proposed or passed laws were affecting them.  And if they disagreed with the effects, they could always sell the laws that didn’t work for them.

And, really, could introducing clear pricing of the Common Good be that much worse than what we have today?

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